Covid vaccines may have contributed to rise in excess deaths, researchers suggest

Scientists have suggested that covid vaccines may have contributed to the rise in excess deaths seen across the western world since the pandemic, including in Australia.

This claim has already been rejected by the Australian government, including the Department of Health and Aged Care and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), as well as independent bodies such as the Actuaries Institute, which claim there is “no credible evidence” to support such a link. .

Researchers from the Netherlands analyzed excess mortality from all causes in 47 countries between 2020 and 2022, when just under 3.1 million total excess deaths were recorded, with the trend continuing “despite the implementation of containment measures and vaccines against covid-19 “.

Writing in a diary BMJ Public Health on Monday, a team from the Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam found that the highest number of excess deaths, 1.26 million, was recorded in 2021 when containment measures and vaccines were used to fight the virus, compared with 1.03 million in 2020 before the introduction of the vaccine. , and 808,400 in 2022, when most quarantine measures were lifted but vaccination continued.

“This is unprecedented and raises serious concerns,” they wrote.

“During the pandemic, politicians and the media emphasized on a daily basis that every death from covid-19 matters and that every life deserves to be protected by containment measures and vaccines against covid-19. After the pandemic, the same morality should apply. Every death must be acknowledged and accounted for, regardless of its origin. Transparency to potentially deadly drivers is ensured.”

The authors noted that previous research “confirmed gross underreporting of adverse events, including deaths, after immunization” and that there was no consensus in the medical community “regarding concerns that mRNA vaccines may cause more harm than was originally announced”.

They pointed to a secondary analysis of data from the Pfizer and Moderna vaccine trials that previously found an increased risk of serious adverse events such as ischemic stroke, acute coronary syndrome and cerebral hemorrhage, all common clinical conditions.

“This community hinders clinical suspicion and, consequently, its detection as an adverse vaccine reaction,” they said.

“Both health professionals and citizens have reported serious injuries and deaths following vaccination to various official databases in the Western world, such as VAERS in the US, EudraVigilance in the European Union and the Yellow Card Scheme in the UK. A study comparing VAERS and EudraVigilance adverse event reports following Covid-19 mRNA vaccines versus influenza vaccines noted a higher risk of serious adverse events with Covid-19 vaccines.”

These reactions included cardiovascular disease, coagulation, bleeding, gastrointestinal events, and thromboses.

“Numerous studies have reported that vaccination against Covid-19 can cause myocarditis, pericarditis and autoimmune diseases,” they said.

“Autopsies also attributed myocarditis, encephalitis, immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia, intracranial hemorrhage and diffuse thrombosis to vaccination against covid-19. In July 2021, the Food and Drug Administration warned that the following potentially serious adverse reactions to Pfizer vaccines merit further monitoring and investigation: pulmonary embolism, acute myocardial infarction, immune thrombocytopenia, and disseminated intravascular coagulation.”

The Dutch researchers argued that “the simultaneous occurrence of excess mortality and vaccination against covid-19 in Germany provides a safety signal that warrants further investigation”.

“Despite these concerns, clinical trial data needed to further investigate these links are not being shared with the public,” they said. “Autopsies to confirm actual causes of death are rarely performed.”

The resulting “absence of detailed cause-of-death data” for some countries made it difficult to determine “whether Covid-19 infection, indirect effects of containment measures, Covid-19 vaccines or other overlooked factors play an underlying role”.

“Therefore, cause-specific mortality data should be made available to enable more detailed, direct and robust analyzes to determine underlying factors,” they said.

“It is necessary to enable an autopsy to determine the exact cause of death. Government leaders and policy makers must thoroughly investigate the root causes of persistent excess mortality and evaluate their health crisis policies.

They also suggested that it is “likely” that containment measures such as prisons, stay-at-home orders, school and business closures, travel restrictions, curfews and quarantines have contributed to the rise in excess deaths, particularly due to delayed or interrupted treatment. however, he admitted that this is difficult to prove.

Gordon Wishart, chief medical officer at Check4Cancer and visiting professor of cancer surgery at Anglia Ruskin University, told the British newspaper The Telegraph he repeatedly warned that delaying the diagnosis of cancer will lead to death.

“Early in the lockdown period, it was predicted that limited access to health care for non-Covid-related conditions would lead to delays in the diagnosis and treatment of time-critical conditions such as cancer, heart disease, diabetes and dementia, and that this led to excess deaths from these conditions,” he said.

When asked about the potential harm from the vaccine, which was stated by the Dutch researchers, Prof. Wishart said the authors “are right to point out that many serious vaccine-related adverse events may have gone unreported, and point to the fact that the co-occurrence of excess mortality and covid vaccination in Germany is in itself worthy of further investigation. Investigation.”

“The paper raises more questions than answers, but it is difficult to agree with their conclusion that further analysis is needed to understand the underlying causes of excess mortality in order to better prepare for future management of pandemic crises,” he said.

Australia’s Senate launched an inquiry into excess mortality in March after United Australia senator Ralph Babet repeatedly tried to withdraw the probe. The inquiry, which is due to issue its final report by August 31, has received detailed submissions from the Australian government, which reject any link between vaccines and excess deaths.

“There is no credible evidence to suggest that covid-19 vaccines have contributed to excess deaths in Australia or overseas,” the Department of Health said in its submission.

“An independent analysis of Australian death data by the Institute of Actuaries found that the timing and form of excess mortality did not support an association with vaccination.”

It noted that a study published in Lancet in November, commissioned by the department, “confirmed that vaccines protect against death from covid-19 and found no evidence that vaccines contribute to higher all-cause mortality”.

The Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) “rigorously assesses the safety, quality and efficacy of all vaccines before they are supplied”, the submission added.

“Rigorous scientific studies have shown that the protective benefits of vaccination, including the COVID-19 vaccine, far outweigh the potential risks, including the risks of serious but very rare side effects,” they wrote.

“Vaccination remains the most effective way to reduce severe illness, hospitalization and death from infection. He saved many lives in Australia and around the world.”

The ABS said in its submission that covid-related deaths were the biggest contributors to excess mortality.

“ABS data recorded 16 Covid-19 vaccine deaths during the pandemic period,” they wrote. “To date, almost 71 million doses of the vaccine against covid-19 have been administered.”

The Institute of Actuaries, which calculates excess mortality differently to the ABS, also found that deaths “with and without Covid-19” had caused the rise.

“Available evidence does not support a significant contribution to excess mortality from adverse side effects of COVID-19 vaccines,” they wrote.

“In fact, it’s the other way around – while every such death is deplorable, it seems clear that the small number of deaths caused by covid-19 vaccines is a small fraction of the covid-19 deaths they prevent.”

Coverse, the charity representing vaccine-injured Australians, said in its submission that while it did not have “statistical evidence that Covid-19 vaccines definitely contributed to excess mortality in 2021-2023, we have evidence of widespread and substantial downplaying vaccine-induced harm, which has worrying implications for the current understanding of the causes of excess mortality in Australia.

“Unfortunately, vaccines are rarely studied for their ‘non-specific effects’ (such as potentially causing) patients to become more susceptible to other diseases,” Coverse said.

“Our government agencies and officials claim that current excess mortality statistics do not include covid-19 vaccines as an identifiable driver, but no studies are conducted on such non-specific effects. We assume that they simply do not want to even consider such studies, as their reputation is strongly linked to the implementation of Covid-19 vaccines in Australia.”

frank.chung@news.com.au

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