What to expect from Baldur's Gate 3 Black Friday sales

With the holidays approaching, Baldur's Gate 3 is once again at the top of many holiday wishlists. Whether one is a first-time player finally ready to see what all the hype is about, or a seasoned adventurer looking for a second copy for a couch co-op partner, the same question comes up every November since 2023: Will Baldur's Gate 3 start selling on Black Friday, and if so, for how much?

For any Baldurians looking for an answer, the likely answer lies in the data we have. If the numbers prove to be correct, a discount sometime during the holidays is very likely. There's a catch, though: Black Friday doesn't have to fall in that window.

The price history below only reflects fluctuations caused by Steam discounts. Excludes sales on PS5, Xbox and other platforms.

Baldur's Gate 3 Prize History

Baldur's Gate 3 was launched in August 2023 and won almost every major Game of the Year award. For over a year, Larian Studios barely budged from discounts, keeping the standard $59.99 price tag intact with only modest discounts. But as the game matured and entered its second year on the market, sales became more frequent and deeper. Below is the timeline BG3Known Steam price drops so far:

Winter Sale 2023 (December 21): $53.00 (10%)
Spring Sale 2024 (March): $53.00 (10%)
May 16, 2024: $50.99 (15%)
Summer Sale 2024 (June 27): $47.99 (20%)
September 5, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
November 4, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
Fall Sale 2024 (November 27): $47.99 (20%) – Coincides with Black Friday 2024
Winter Sale 2024 (December 19): $47.99 (20%)
Couch Co-Op Fest (February 10, 2025): $47.99 (20%)
Spring Sale 2025 (March 13): $47.99 (20%)
April 7, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
May 19, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
Summer Sale 2025 (June 26): $47.99 (20%)
1 September 2025: $44.99 (25%) – New lowest price ever
Fall Sale 2025 (September 19): $44.99 (25%) – Steam's first Fall Sale yet

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This pricing model tells a clear story. Larian gradually increased the discount threshold over time, settling at 20% as the standard and 25% as the deepest discount ever recorded.

Will Baldur's Gate 3 be on sale on Black Friday 2025?

The prediction about whether Baldur's Gate 3 will have a Black Friday deal is correct be increasingly complicated by the shift in the Steam sale calendar. Unlike many games that run explicit Black Friday promotions, Baldur's Gate 3The first and only Black Friday deal was through the Steam Fall Sale. And coincidence in this case does not mean correlation. In 2024, the Fall Sale perfectly aligned with the Black Friday shopping window, offering players a 20% discount and possibly the hope of a repeat Black Friday sale. However, the Fall 2025 sale started much earlier than usual, on September 19, rather than late November.

What this likely means for Black Friday 2025

Dungeons and Dragons New Baldur's Gate content tips in Heroes of Faerun

Based on past patterns, a Black Friday discount is still possible, though not guaranteed. In this case, the sale would have to be explicitly tied to Black Friday or another theme. In recent history, there has been a themed sale separate from the Steam calendar:

Back to Academy Sale: Starts 1 September 2025 (25% off)
Easter Sale: started April 7, 2025 (20%)
Annual Sale: started 5 September 2024 (20%)

However, players who want to score Baldur's Gate 3 you don't have to worry about sales this holiday season. The most reliable discount for BG3 has coincided with Steam's seasonal sales every year, and its upcoming one is the Steam Winter Sale. This year's Steam Winter Sale 2025 runs from December 18, 2025 to January 5, 2026. It's the biggest Steam sale ever in a year when many developers are pricing games at their lowest. Because Baldur's Gate 3 has set new low prices twice in 2025, this year's winter sale may yield better savings compared to last year.

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Black Friday Sale Baldur's Gate 3 may happen due to seasonal trends, but the known 20-25% discount associated with Steam sales is more reliable than a surprise deal at this point. For many players, it's worth waiting a little less to enter Faerun for the first time. And for anyone eager to explore the threats of the Absolute or romance and BG3 character with a discount during the final days of Thanksgiving weekend, can roll a 20 Nat die for savings.