AND Pokemon Legends: ZA the player catches a version of Charmander that has a 0.000122% chance of spawning, meaning there is a 1 in 819,672 chance. Pokemon Gold and Silver introduced the concept of Shiny Pokémon back in 2000, for a context where a wild encounter had a 1 in 8,192 chance of being shiny. In other words, this Charmander v Pokemon Legends: ZA is about a hundred times rarer than Shinies back then.
Shinies have come a long way since then, and Shinys are hunting Pokemon Legends: ZA and others Pokemon games are becoming more common than pure luck. Spawn chances have been tweaked over the years, with items like Shiny Charm making them easier to find and different reset methods and so on making Shiny Pokemon more options and less of a random, awesome luxury Pokemon. Still, Shiny Alpha Female Charmander (and Charizard) is definitely a super rare luxury Pokemon.
Screenshots shared by Redditor BASEERNINJA show this beautiful Pokemon in the wild and later at a party. While there are plenty of jokes about the odds of a shiny alpha female Charmander turning into a shiny alpha female Charizard, there are plenty of math hits and odds. Assuming he has a Redditor Pokemon Legends: ZAShiny Charm, that means the fact that Shinies are 1/1024, Alphas are 1/20, a female Charmander is 1/8, a Charmander spawn itself is 1/10, and that there are two potential spawns means there is a 1 in 819,672 chance of finding that specific Charmander.
Chances of a shiny alpha female Charmander in the wild
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Shiny: 1/1024 (with shiny charm)
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Alpha: 1/20
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Females: 1/8
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Charmander Spawn: 1/10
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+Two potential spawns
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= 1 in 819, 672 or 0.000122%
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H/T Redditor PlanGoneAwry
Oh, and to make it even more special, BASEERNINJA caught this Moon Orb Charmander. It seems they saved them and intended to use them Pokemon Legends: ZA's save-and-reset shiny hunting method to ensure they caught it, but according to the Redditor, they did it on the first try. If nothing else, these are the adjustments that will ensure that Shiny Pokémon remain special and in the hearts of fans around the world.
Over time, shiny pokemon have become more and more common, and it is even possible to complete live shiny pokedexes in games such as Scarlet and purple. This is a far cry from the achievements of earlier games, even if it was technically possible. Still, the introduction of Alpha Pokemon and other parameters ensures that there will always be a way to encounter truly rare, truly awesome Pokemon.

- Released
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October 16, 2025
- ESRB
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Everyone 10+ / Fantasy violence, in-game purchases

